El Niño/La Niña Update (April 2023)

The recent multi-year (so-called “triple dip”) La Niña event is over and the tropical Pacific is currently in an ENSO-neutral state.  WMO Global Producing Centres of Long-Range Forecasts predict that there is a 40% chance for ENSO-neutral conditions to continue during May-July 2023, and there is a 60% chance for a transition from ENSO-neutral to El Niño during May-July.